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FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight, 538, ABC News, Nate Silver

1.4K
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27.1K
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FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight, 538, ABC News, Nate Silver

1.4K
Followers
27.1K
Plays
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About Us

Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

Latest Episodes

How To Make Polls Better

Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them.

72 min3 h ago
Comments
How To Make Polls Better

What Happened To Down-Ballot Democrats?

The crew discusses the challenges Democrats faced in House, Senate and state legislature races. They also ask whether it was a good use of polling to survey preferences for the 2024 Republican primary before Trump has even left the White House.

54 min3 d ago
Comments
What Happened To Down-Ballot Democrats?

Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy

Three weeks after the election, President Trump is still refusing to concede and making attempts to subvert the results of the election. The team discusses the extent to which these anti-democratic efforts have been successful and what precedent they set going forward. They also consider the politics surrounding the current surge in coronavirus cases and ask what pollsters should do about falling response rates.

52 min1 w ago
Comments
Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy

Will Georgia Stay Blue?

Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight's Perry Bacon Jr. and Greg Bluestein of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution to understand the trends that flipped Georgia blue and how durable they are.

33 min2 w ago
Comments
Will Georgia Stay Blue?

What Divided The Electorate In 2020

The crew explores the demographic and geographic trends that divided the nation in 2020. They also ask how President Trump's refusal to concede the election will affect the nation.

46 min2 w ago
Comments
What Divided The Electorate In 2020

Model Talk: Why Polls Were Off In 2020, And Why They Weren’t That Bad

In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss why a polling error of even four points isn't that unexpected, offer reasons for why the error occurred and discuss the usefulness of polling and modeling going forward.

46 min3 w ago
Comments
Model Talk: Why Polls Were Off In 2020, And Why They Weren’t That Bad

Where The Rest Of The 2020 Races Stand

The crew reviews who is leading in the outstanding races and how the two parties are reacting to the results. They also discuss what positive vaccine news could mean for Biden's first term.

45 min3 w ago
Comments
Where The Rest Of The 2020 Races Stand

Biden Is Set To Be The Next President

The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election.

35 min3 w ago
Comments
Biden Is Set To Be The Next President

Biden Could Soon Win Pennsylvania … And The Presidency

As votes continue to be counted in five key battleground states, and as Biden's margins continue to improve, it looks very likely that the presidential race will eventually be called for Biden. In this installment of the podcast, the crew shares an update on where votes are still coming in and what to make of the overall results at this point.

28 minNOV 6
Comments
Biden Could Soon Win Pennsylvania … And The Presidency

Biden's Path To Victory Is Looking Clearer

After our colleagues at ABC News projected Joe Biden as the winner in Michigan, the former vice president's path to victory is looking clearer. In this installment of the podcast, the crew discusses the results so far, what's left to come in, and some of the trends in the data. They also begin to answer questions about polling errors in the 2020 election.

34 minNOV 5
Comments
Biden's Path To Victory Is Looking Clearer

Latest Episodes

How To Make Polls Better

Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them.

72 min3 h ago
Comments
How To Make Polls Better

What Happened To Down-Ballot Democrats?

The crew discusses the challenges Democrats faced in House, Senate and state legislature races. They also ask whether it was a good use of polling to survey preferences for the 2024 Republican primary before Trump has even left the White House.

54 min3 d ago
Comments
What Happened To Down-Ballot Democrats?

Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy

Three weeks after the election, President Trump is still refusing to concede and making attempts to subvert the results of the election. The team discusses the extent to which these anti-democratic efforts have been successful and what precedent they set going forward. They also consider the politics surrounding the current surge in coronavirus cases and ask what pollsters should do about falling response rates.

52 min1 w ago
Comments
Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy

Will Georgia Stay Blue?

Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight's Perry Bacon Jr. and Greg Bluestein of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution to understand the trends that flipped Georgia blue and how durable they are.

33 min2 w ago
Comments
Will Georgia Stay Blue?

What Divided The Electorate In 2020

The crew explores the demographic and geographic trends that divided the nation in 2020. They also ask how President Trump's refusal to concede the election will affect the nation.

46 min2 w ago
Comments
What Divided The Electorate In 2020

Model Talk: Why Polls Were Off In 2020, And Why They Weren’t That Bad

In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss why a polling error of even four points isn't that unexpected, offer reasons for why the error occurred and discuss the usefulness of polling and modeling going forward.

46 min3 w ago
Comments
Model Talk: Why Polls Were Off In 2020, And Why They Weren’t That Bad

Where The Rest Of The 2020 Races Stand

The crew reviews who is leading in the outstanding races and how the two parties are reacting to the results. They also discuss what positive vaccine news could mean for Biden's first term.

45 min3 w ago
Comments
Where The Rest Of The 2020 Races Stand

Biden Is Set To Be The Next President

The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election.

35 min3 w ago
Comments
Biden Is Set To Be The Next President

Biden Could Soon Win Pennsylvania … And The Presidency

As votes continue to be counted in five key battleground states, and as Biden's margins continue to improve, it looks very likely that the presidential race will eventually be called for Biden. In this installment of the podcast, the crew shares an update on where votes are still coming in and what to make of the overall results at this point.

28 minNOV 6
Comments
Biden Could Soon Win Pennsylvania … And The Presidency

Biden's Path To Victory Is Looking Clearer

After our colleagues at ABC News projected Joe Biden as the winner in Michigan, the former vice president's path to victory is looking clearer. In this installment of the podcast, the crew discusses the results so far, what's left to come in, and some of the trends in the data. They also begin to answer questions about polling errors in the 2020 election.

34 minNOV 5
Comments
Biden's Path To Victory Is Looking Clearer

More from FiveThirtyEight, 538, ABC News, Nate Silver

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